Wednesday, December 2, 2015

NFL 2015: Who Will Get to the Playoffs?

I used my latest predictive model to predict the remaining games in the NFL season.  By totaling up the predicted wins/losses with previous wins/losses, and by applying tie breaking rules, I came up with the below projection of teams that will get into the playoffs.

AFC: Patriots, Bengals, Broncos, Chiefs, Steelers, and Colts.
NFC: Panthers, Vikings, Packers, Cardinals, Seahawks, and Falcons

Not likely to be totally correct as there is still a lot of football to play and many close calls.  Still, it's a fun exercise and it will certainly be somewhat close to the final outcome.


Team
Remaining Predicted Wins
Remaining Predicted Losses
Previous Wins
Previous Losses
Total Wins
Total Losses
Conference
Playoffs Seed
Patriots
5
0
10
1
15
1
AFC
1
Bengals
5
0
9
2
14
2
AFC
2
Broncos
3
2
9
2
12
4
AFC
3
Chiefs
5
0
6
5
11
5
AFC
4
Steelers
4
1
6
5
10
6
AFC
5
Colts
4
1
6
5
10
6
AFC
6
Bills
4
1
5
6
9
7
AFC
7
Texans
2
3
6
5
8
8
AFC
8
Jets
1
4
6
5
7
9
AFC
9
Dolphins
1
4
4
7
5
11
AFC
10
Jaguars
1
4
4
7
5
11
AFC
11
Raiders
0
5
5
6
5
11
AFC
12
Ravens
1
4
4
7
5
11
AFC
13
Chargers
1
4
3
8
4
12
AFC
14
Browns
1
4
2
9
3
13
AFC
15
Titans
1
4
2
9
3
13
AFC
16
Panthers
5
0
11
0
16
0
NFC
1
Vikings
5
0
8
3
13
3
NFC
2
Packers
4
1
7
4
11
5
NFC
3
Cardinals
2
3
9
2
11
5
NFC
4
Seahawks
4
1
6
5
10
6
NFC
5
Falcons
3
2
6
5
9
7
NFC
6
Bears
3
2
5
6
8
8
NFC
7
Giants
3
2
5
6
8
8
NFC
8
Lions
4
1
4
7
8
8
NFC
9
Buccaneers
2
3
5
6
7
9
NFC
10
Cowboys
4
1
3
8
7
9
NFC
11
Redskins
1
4
5
6
6
10
NFC
12
49ers
1
4
3
8
4
12
NFC
13
Eagles
0
5
4
7
4
12
NFC
14
Rams
0
5
4
7
4
12
NFC
15
Saints
0
5
4
7
4
12
NFC
16

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